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Bundesliga Predictions 5/16/2020


Thank you, Germany, for finally making this important step and bring back the most thrilling game in the world. We are all passing through a difficult time and the future has never been more uncertain, but one thing can help us distract ourselves from the sad and grey reality in which we are living.  I might sound crazy to some of you but for me, the sport has always been a huge part of my life and I can't imagine living in a world without it. Let's sit back and enjoy one of the most entertaining leagues in the world this Saturday and at least for a few hours forger how tough the past couple of months were.   


 Augsburg vs Wolfsburg   


The better team in this match is Wolfsburg. The Wolves were unbeaten in their previous six games – winning three and drawing three. This excellent run has lifted Oliver Glasner’s men to seventh in the standings – one point behind Schalke and 13 from the top four. While a place in next season’s Champions League may be unreachable, Wolfsburg can secure a Europe League spot if they pick up where they left off. The visitors travel here unbeaten in three away league fixtures- winning 2 and drawing one, whilst all four of their away matches in 2020 have seen both teams score and over 3.5 goals.   


Augsburg finds themselves fourteenth in the table – one point ahead of Mainz and five points clear of the bottom three. A record of W7-D6-L12 means that Augsburg isn’t entirely out of the relegation battle, although a couple of positive results should be enough to secure their safety. Augsburg displays their best at home (they have picked up 18 of their 27 points) and even in a contest behind closed doors have enough firepower to give Wolfsburg a scare. Their last 12 home games have featured 45 goals – an average of 3.75 a match – and they have failed to score in only one of those contests.   




Over 2.5 goals have been seen in 24 of FC Augsburg's last 28 home matches in Bundesliga   

There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Wolfsburg's 8 most recent games in Bundesliga   

In 11 of FC Augsburg's last 14 home, all competitions match both teams scored   

Both teams scored in 6 of Wolfsburg's last 8 matches in Bundesliga   

FC Augsburg have recorded a poor run of 6 losses by 2+ goals in their last 9 all competitions matches   

Of their last 9 Bundesliga matches, Wolfsburg have conceded 2+ goals in 6 meetings   


Wolfsburg here looks like the team who will have the better chance of winning this match, but after 2 months of no football, we can’t be sure of their condition. For Augsburg, the fight for survival is just about to begin, and they will have to find a way to improve their results. At home, they have always been a dangerous team and they will put on a performance for their fans in front of the TVs. We predict a high scoring affair with both teams going for a win here and not slowing down.  


 PREDICTIONOver 2.5 goals at 1.95 (1U)  

 LEAN: BTTS&Over 3.5 goals at 3.75 



Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Paderborn 


The scrap for Bundesliga survival is way clearer cut than the duel for title supremacy and for relegation candidates Fortuna Dusseldorf and Paderborn this is a game neither can afford to lose. Uwe Rosler’s January appointment has improved Fortuna Dusseldorf’s survival chances. The hosts have lost only one of their six league matches under his care, however, four of those outings have finished as draws. At home, however, Dusseldorf is on a four-game winless streak (D2, L2), and have now conceded in seven straight fixtures here. There are a handful of teams in the division with a poorer defensive record than Dusseldorf, but no club has scored fewer goals in Germany’s top flight this term.   

Meanwhile, Paderborn finds themselves bottom of the table on 16 points – two points behind second-bottom Werder Bremen and four points behind Fortuna. A win for Paderborn this weekend would move them to within a point of Fortuna, but anything other than a victory would see them cast further adrift at the bottom. Paderborn’s 25 league games this term have featured 84 goals (3.36 per game), with the net bulging at both ends in 17 of their encounters.  




Of their last 22 home matches in all competitions, Fortuna Dusseldorf have seen 17 high-scoring with over 2.5 goals  

Paderborn have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 4 matches  

Both teams scored in 7 of Fortuna Dusseldorf's last 8 games in all competitions  

Both teams scored in 5 of Paderborn’s last 6 games I the Bundesliga   

Fortuna Dusseldorf have conceded 17 goals across their last seven home matches  

Paderborn’s 25 league games this term have featured 84 goals (an average of 3.36), with both teams scoring in 17 of those matches  


Tough to separate these 2 teams and especially when they won’t be 30000 passionate home fans on the stadium on that day. A loss for Paderborn means that they will be 9 points behind their opponent in this match which will put them in a very tough situation and probably relegation. We expect Paderborn to come up strong and do their best to win the match and with that to bring back hope for surviving. On the other side, Fortuna must improve their home performance and look for a chance to punish the visitors in any possible situation and break their rhythm of playing. We think both teams scoring in this match is a very possible outcome but will not be the end of it. Anything is possible here in a genuine relegation six-pointer with two sides desperate for a win in a very weird atmosphere due to the Coronavirus outbreak.   


PREDICTIONBTTS&Over 2.5 goals at 2.0 (1U) 

LEAN: Half With Most Goals- 2nd  at 2.0 


Other Bundesliga Leans: 

Erling Braut Haland Over 1.5 Shots on Targer at 1.72 

RB Leipzig To Score in Both Halves at 1.9 

Herta Berling to Win&BTTS at 5.5  

Eintracht Frankfurt BTTS&Over 2.5 goals at 1.95 


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EPL and Bundesliga Predictions 9/14/2019

We Are Back!

The International break is finally over! We had some good results during the past few days but we will always prefer club football. Big weekend is in front of us with a lot of games with great value. After that, we will have more predictions for the first leg of the Champions League. But let’s start with our selections for Saturday. A piece of small advice here be extra careful with playing favourites this week usually, after an international break, the big cubs tend to slip and lose points from smaller teams especially when they are playing away from home.



FC Cologne-Borussia Monchengladbach

Over 2.5 goals & BTTS at 1.9 (2 units)

We are starting with the 100th Rhein derby. These two teams know each other very well and we expect to see a classic German football with a lot of chances for both sides and of course a lot of goals. Cologne has lost more games against Monchengladbach in the Bundesliga than any other side. The “Billy Goats” performances against Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund over their opening two matches gave them some cause for optimism despite back-to-back defeats. They managed to beat Freiburg away from home in the last round and now for sure they will very motivated to put another good performance in front of their fans. Cologne has scored at home in their last 29 league matches. 11 of their last 12 matches were over 2.5 goals while they have only kept 6 clean sheets at the Rhein Energy Stadion since the start of 2017/2018 season. Borussia has had a balanced start of the season (1W, 1D, 1L). That’s now just two losses in their last 10 competitive games and they won 6 of their 9 away games in 2019. Alassane Plea and new signing Breel Embolo have both found the back of the net at least once this season and we expect them to continue this trend. Goals are expected in this match but we don’t see either of the team to keep a clean sheet.


Augsburg-Eintracht Frankfurt

Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS at 1.83 (1 Unit)

Winless so far, Augsburg couldn’t start this season much worse. Coach Martin Schmidt will have had plenty to think about over the International break, with his Augsburg side now winless in seven league matches. Interestingly, Frankfurt was the last team they managed to take all three points off. They have managed to score in every league match so far though, with all four of their goals this term arriving within the first 15 minutes of either half. However, it’s their defensive record that will worry the coach, with Augsburg’s average of 3 goals conceded per Bundesliga game the division’s second-worst ahead of the round. Notably, six of the nine goals they have conceded arrived in the second half. Eintracht Frankfurt lost their opening away match against the leaders in the table RB Leipzig. Both teams scored in that game, which has now been the case in Frankfurt's last five away league matches and happened in 65% of their away league matches last campaign. Andre Silva has signed on loan from AC Milan with Ante Rebic finally getting his desired move by going in the opposite direction. Silva may get his debut up front alongside Dutch striker Bas Dost against defensively suspect Augsburg. Both teams scored in seven of their last nine league H2H meetings (78%) and we don’t think we will see a 1-1 type of game here.


RB Leipzig- Bayern Munich

RB Leipzig to Win & BTTS at 5.5 (0.5 units)

The big game in this round between the current leaders in the table and the champions! Whatever we say about these two teams will not make our decision easier of who will be the winner here. This is one of those type of games that 1 mistake will decide the final result. Bayern managed to win 6 of their last 8 games against Leipzig draw 1 and lose only once. Bayern is undefeated in their last 17 matches in the Bundesliga and they managed to keep a clean sheet in their last 3 matches against RB Leipzig in all competition. We don’t see such a result again. The home team is undefeated in 18 of their last 19 matches and scored at least 2 goals in 9 of their last 11. Julian Nagelsmann managed to beat Bayern last season while he was still coaching Hoffenheim and it looks like this is a perfect time for him to do it again. Munich got Perisic and Coutinho and they hope they will replace Robben and Ribery but we don’t see this happening for 1 or 2 weeks. These players are good but they have never played in the Bundesliga and we expect that they will not be ready on 100% for such a big test yet. Small lean on the 2-1 correct score!


🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League



Wolverhampton to win at 2.9 (1 unit)

Despite being winless this Premier League campaign (3D, 1L), Wolves can go 11 top-flight home games unbeaten for the first time since 1971/1972. Though the home crowd will be optimistic of a positive result, only four of Wolves 23 goal attempts across their opening 2 home fixtures have hit the target but against the weak Chelsea defence, we expect that number to go up. Wolves managed to beat Chelsea last year when they still have Hazard in the team, now he is gone. Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Reece James and Callum Hudson-Odoi are also out and Kante, Pedro, Kovacic and Rudiger are still not 100% fit after their minor injuries. Wolves don’t have such a big problem with the squad and this looks a perfect time for them to get their first win for the season. Only newly promoted Norwich City have conceded more goals than Chelsea so far this season, and Lampard’s men have shipped a worrying 2.25 goals per 90 Premier League minutes since the summer. Wolves maintained a brilliant record against the division’s best sides last season, and Wanderers took four points from six in their meetings with Chelsea in 2018/19. With Chelsea’s fragility at the back and Wolves’ excellent home form considered, we think there is value in backing the home win this weekend.



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